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The US economy is thriving, but its consumers are not

The most revealing recent signal about the United States (US) economy did not come from the Federal Reserve (Fed). It came from Walmart.

Who pays when a country runs out of options?

Japan bought its own currency. China stopped buying oil. The United States (US) discovered that investors now want 5.22% to hold its debt for 30 years. These decisions tell the same story: When a crisis arrives, countries with options can protect themselves. Countries without options pass the cost of a crisis to their citizens.

Artificial intelligence can change the world and still be a bad investment

What if artificial intelligence (AI) changes almost everything, yet still proves to be one of the worst investments of all time? It sounds contradictory, but it is not. Technology can transform society while the companies that build it spend too much and leave investors to foot the bill. The internet did precisely that: The world gained, even though many shareholders lost money.

The biggest asset missing from your balance sheet

Most financial conversations begin too late. They start after money has already been earned. We then debate offshore exposure, fees, tax efficiency, and whether the Johannesburg Stock Exchange can outperform Wall Street. Although these are worthwhile questions, they are concerned with capital that has already accumulated. For most working households, the far larger economic value lies in capital that has not yet been earned.

The world is richer than ever, and that might be the problem

The world has become astonishingly wealthy, at least on paper. Global wealth exceeded $600 trillion in 2025, more than five times the annual global gross domestic product (GDP). Household wealth rose by roughly $40 trillion in a single year. But, here is the uncomfortable question: How much of that increase came from building anything new? The answer: Very little.

The high price of taking back control

The defining economic contest may not be capitalism vs. socialism, or even the United States (US) vs. China. It may be efficiency vs. sovereignty. Governments want control over production, money, payments, and data. Households gravitate towards financial gurus offering simple rules. In both cases, control feels like safety. Increasingly, however, it carries a price.

SA cannot redistribute its way to prosperity

The world economy is entering a dangerous new phase. Countries are pulling apart, while companies are growing larger. Payment systems are becoming political. Capital is concentrating in a handful of corporate giants. Governments want more control, investors want more scale, and ordinary citizens increasingly suspect that the system no longer works for them. This is not merely a story about the United States (US), China, or Europe. It is a warning for South Africa (SA).

When an ice lolly becomes an economic warning

The most revealing price in the world economy may not be oil, gold, the rand, or a United States (US) Treasury yield. It may be the price of a Japanese ice lolly.

Mid-year reality check: Is your financial well-being structurally sound?

By the middle of the year, most people have not abandoned their financial plans. Something subtler has happened: Life has changed, but financial plans have not.